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How the "Lock-In Effect" Drives Growth in the Commercial & Residential Interiors Industry

2/14/2025
Industry Trends

The "lock-in effect" is significantly influencing the real estate market, particularly within the commercial and residential interiors industry. This phenomenon occurs when homeowners, benefiting from historically low mortgage rates, choose to remain in their current properties rather than purchasing new ones due to the financial disadvantages of higher prevailing rates. As a result, there's a notable decrease in housing inventory, leading homeowners to invest in renovating and enhancing their existing spaces.

Understanding the Lock-In Effect

As of mid-2024, approximately 84% of outstanding mortgages had rates below 6%, with 56% below 4%. This disparity discourages homeowners from selling, as acquiring a new mortgage would likely mean higher interest rates and increased monthly payments. Consequently, many opt to stay put, creating a "lock-in" situation that reduces the number of homes available for sale.

Implications for the Interiors Industry

This trend has several positive implications for the interiors sector:

  1. Increased Demand for Renovations: Homeowners are channeling funds into remodeling kitchens, bathrooms, and living areas to enhance comfort and functionality. This surge in renovation projects boosts demand for interior designers, contractors, and suppliers of building materials.
  1. Emphasis on Personalization: With longer stays in their current homes, individuals are more inclined to customize interiors to reflect personal tastes, leading to a rise in bespoke design services and unique décor solutions.
  1. Growth in Home Office Designs: The continuation of remote and hybrid work models has increased the need for functional home office spaces, prompting investments in ergonomic furniture and efficient workspace layouts.
  1. Sustainable and Smart Home Upgrades: There's a growing interest in eco-friendly materials and smart home technologies as homeowners seek to modernize their living environments with energy-efficient and connected solutions.

Commercial Interiors and the Lock-In Effect

The commercial sector is also experiencing shifts due to the lock-in effect:

  • Office Space Reconfigurations: Businesses are redesigning existing office spaces to accommodate hybrid work models, focusing on collaborative areas and flexible layouts.
  • Retail Space Adaptations: Retailers are investing in interior redesigns to enhance customer experiences, integrating technology and creating more engaging environments to attract foot traffic.

Economic Outlook

While the lock-in effect presents challenges for real estate transactions, it offers growth opportunities for the interiors industry. The increased focus on home improvement and commercial space optimization is driving economic activity within the sector. However, professionals should remain aware of potential market fluctuations and continue to adapt to evolving consumer preferences.

Conclusion

As homeowners and businesses alike invest in improving their environments, the interiors sector is well-positioned for sustained growth.

For 53 years, The Bridger Group has honed its expertise in the commercial and residential interior products industry, granting us unparalleled access to high-performing talent in the sector. Contact us to see what we can do for your team. 

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